Secure Staking Plan
The Secure Staking Plan is a strategic betting approach that adjusts stakes based on the implied probability of success, as indicated by the odds. The fundamental principle is that lower odds suggest a higher likelihood of winning, prompting proportionally larger stakes, while higher odds indicate a lower probability, leading to smaller stakes. This methodology aims to safeguard your betting bank by minimizing exposure on less probable outcomes.
Implementation of the Secure Staking Plan:
Determine Your Starting Bank: Establish the total amount allocated for betting.
Set Maximum Stake Percentage: Decide the maximum percentage of your starting bank to wager on any single bet. For instance, setting this at 10% means the highest stake would be 10% of your starting bank.
Define Odds Ranges and Corresponding Stake Percentages: Create tiers based on odds ranges, assigning a specific percentage of the maximum stake to each range. For example:
- Odds less than 2.1: Stake 100% of the maximum stake.
- Odds between 2.1 and 3.0: Stake 75% of the maximum stake.
- Odds between 3.1 and 4.0: Stake 50% of the maximum stake.
These percentages can be adjusted to align with your betting strategy and risk tolerance.
Example Scenario:
Assume a starting bank of £100 and a maximum stake set at 10%, resulting in a £10 maximum stake.
For a selection with odds of 2.0 (implying a higher probability of winning), you would stake 100% of the maximum stake, which is £10.
For a selection with odds of 3.5 (indicating a lower probability of winning), you might stake 50% of the maximum stake, equating to £5.
By adjusting stakes in this manner, the Secure Staking Plan seeks to optimise potential returns while protecting the betting bank from significant losses on less likely outcomes.
Whitaker Staking Variation:
An alternative approach, known as Whitaker Staking, modifies the Secure Staking Plan by aiming for a predetermined profit amount rather than betting a fixed percentage of the maximum stake. In this variation, the stake is calculated to achieve a specific profit target based on the odds.
Available Settings in The Staking Machine (TSM):
Within TSM, the Secure Staking Plan can be customised to suit individual betting styles. Users can set parameters such as the starting bank, maximum stake percentage, and define odds ranges with corresponding stake percentages.
Frequently Asked Questions
Answer: The Secure Staking Plan adjusts your stake based on the odds. It puts larger stakes on shorter odds (higher probability) and smaller stakes on longer odds (lower probability) to protect your bankroll.
Answer:
- Set a Starting Bank and Maximum Stake % (e.g. 10%).
- Define odds ranges and assign a % of the max stake to each:
– Odds < 2.1 → 100% of max
– 2.1–3.0 → 75%
– 3.1–4.0 → 50% etc.
Answer:
- On a Win: You receive the full return based on the adjusted stake. Your bankroll increases and the next stake is recalculated using the updated bank and the new selection’s odds.
- On a Loss: The stake is deducted from your bank. The next stake is automatically adjusted based on the new (smaller) bank and the upcoming bet’s odds.
Answer: It is one of the safest and most conservative staking plans available in The Staking Machine. By betting less on longshots, it helps produce a smoother equity curve and reduces the chance of large drawdowns. Many users prefer it for long-term consistency and bankroll protection.
Answer: The Whitaker Staking variation (Original Version) is a popular option inside the Secure plan. Instead of using fixed percentages of your maximum stake, it calculates the exact stake needed to achieve a pre-set profit target based on the current odds. This gives you more control over the profit you want from each bet while still following the secure, odds-adjusted logic.
- Starting Bank
- Maximum Stake Percentage
- Full custom odds ranges and stake percentages
- Stop Loss
- Minimum and Maximum stake limits
- Bankroll update options
Answer : It performs especially well with systems that produce a good mix of odds, particularly selections in the 1.8 – 3.5 range. It is ideal if you want steady, lower-volatility growth rather than the big swings of progressive recovery plans like Pro or Recovery.
Pro tip: Start with a conservative maximum stake (5–10%) and always test the plan thoroughly on your historical data using TSM’s Monte Carlo simulation before going live.
