Hi I set AI to pick top 3 in green on column G but changed it to top 3 (not green anymore) caught me out. Anyway sorted that. Yes a process of elimination see which section of favs 3 to 12th make the most. Blindly doing the lot had a sweet spot between 6.00 and 12.00 and over 30 also. Lets set the eel traps see which one catches the most !
Hi ok conducting test. On bot. 3 ways. 1st fav position 3 or 4 or 5. Next Fav position 6 or 7 or 8 lastly fav position 9 or 10 or 11 or 12 (max 12 runners let the data cut its own path
There are many ways to use the cards and ratings; paper testing is always the way forward;
Try, as I have said before, small fields 10 or less then use the 3X3 to see if there is any value in the top 3, if not move on. Hope this helps
Here is one I did today, nice small field and a decent price for VANILLA SKIES that was in the top 3 after taking out NR’s won @ 9.61. A matter of opinion, but seemed good value to me.
Hi two things to point out ?? that is 777 or close to winner last week (went off 1000/1 BSP)on 3X3 not mentioned ?? , and Sunday I did the lot recorded on a bot no 90/1 winner the nearest to 90 was a 76/1 which lost on mine (all 3 done) all races there are. Thanx Phil
From Dave Admin (Not Dave H) – The 1000 BSP winner was mentioned on the feed at the time and the next day. Also shows up in the Results for DHPROT3-LIVE as it was from that part of the card.
Getaway Vic was a non runner in the 1443 Hexham on 21st. The 90 BSP winner was Dolly Dior which moved up to 3rd on one of the cards.
Hi Roy, No, I use the ratings 3X3 and trust the top 3, having said that, it could be an angle to test. Thanks for the question/comment
Dave
10 days ago
Can see that you suggest a focus on value / races with ten or less runners, and with that in mind there are a plenty of small fields today. Some races look playable and others not to my untrained eye.
Without giving anything away, would you mind simply indicating which races you eventually play and which are swerved?
I’d find it useful to confirm I’m on the right track or need to look a bit deeper.
Hi Dave, I will post up races for this afternoon to consider. IMO, keep an eye on the “NEWS FEED” No issues helping Dave, the only thing I can’t share is how the stats are derived.
Thanks, will watch with interest.
I had five races marked as probable and three as possible.
One of the possible’s was Ponty 2.05 (Instant Bond top x2 at a price, but 11 runners)
Dave, you’re getting it very well; great call on the 205 I had it myself but didn’t post it due to numbers in the race. You are definitely on the right track. Hate being a so-called tipster, as I want the members to win and enjoy the system
Interesting that the profit was in the possibles where a horse only figured once or twice (Sugar Sugar aside at a very decent price)
So I’m thinking double top rated irrespective of runners if the price is right and for those mentioned once they’re a play if Betty say over 25.
Sound reasoning Dave, more often than not the runner appears 3 times and I take confidence from that. As I have said, there are so many options but TBH I keep things simple. Are you the Dave interested in the Greyhounds as well??
Hi Roy, Thanks for the question. I work on value; I will sometimes back all 3 if the odds allow. The new Pro card will have guidance to point to a strong selection. The Pro card will be released in late June when testing is complete. Hope this helps. Dave H
The HHI Index allows us to filter out uncompetitive markets where the favourites will be over backed and offer zero value. Example: When backing favourites and applying a HHI Index of less than 0.3 to the DHBL Selections we get a selection system with a 34% Strike Rate and a healthy 18% Edge. Putting the data into TSM we can see the average odds are 3.65 with average winning odds of 3.45. We are avoiding the favourites that offer zero value. This is an option I will be following going forwards in our sister software The Bet Machine. (TBM has the HHI Index available as a criteria option so that only selections will be placed where the current market is as per my HHI Index Criteria).
Hi I set AI to pick top 3 in green on column G but changed it to top 3 (not green anymore) caught me out. Anyway sorted that. Yes a process of elimination see which section of favs 3 to 12th make the most. Blindly doing the lot had a sweet spot between 6.00 and 12.00 and over 30 also. Lets set the eel traps see which one catches the most !
Fingers crossed
Hi ok conducting test. On bot. 3 ways. 1st fav position 3 or 4 or 5. Next Fav position 6 or 7 or 8 lastly fav position 9 or 10 or 11 or 12 (max 12 runners let the data cut its own path
Hope it works for you
Hi are there any “ball park settings” for this or is it just put them in find your own eventual method ??…………………
There are many ways to use the cards and ratings; paper testing is always the way forward;
Try, as I have said before, small fields 10 or less then use the 3X3 to see if there is any value in the top 3, if not move on. Hope this helps
Hi so 10 or less runners selections must be 1st or 2nd or 3rd fav to clarify ?
No, favourite status does not influence selections. See below example.
Here is one I did today, nice small field and a decent price for VANILLA SKIES that was in the top 3 after taking out NR’s won @ 9.61. A matter of opinion, but seemed good value to me.
FENLANDER won @ 1.76 so we did well to move on!!
Hi two things to point out ?? that is 777 or close to winner last week (went off 1000/1 BSP)on 3X3 not mentioned ?? , and Sunday I did the lot recorded on a bot no 90/1 winner the nearest to 90 was a 76/1 which lost on mine (all 3 done) all races there are. Thanx Phil
From Dave Admin (Not Dave H) – The 1000 BSP winner was mentioned on the feed at the time and the next day. Also shows up in the Results for DHPROT3-LIVE as it was from that part of the card.
Getaway Vic was a non runner in the 1443 Hexham on 21st. The 90 BSP winner was Dolly Dior which moved up to 3rd on one of the cards.
Ah thanks for that . There is a next best horse to use if non runner
Yes, just moves up in the list
hi, backing in handicaps only ?
Hi Roy, No, I use the ratings 3X3 and trust the top 3, having said that, it could be an angle to test. Thanks for the question/comment
Can see that you suggest a focus on value / races with ten or less runners, and with that in mind there are a plenty of small fields today. Some races look playable and others not to my untrained eye.
Without giving anything away, would you mind simply indicating which races you eventually play and which are swerved?
I’d find it useful to confirm I’m on the right track or need to look a bit deeper.
Hi Dave, I will post up races for this afternoon to consider. IMO, keep an eye on the “NEWS FEED” No issues helping Dave, the only thing I can’t share is how the stats are derived.
Thanks, will watch with interest.
I had five races marked as probable and three as possible.
One of the possible’s was Ponty 2.05 (Instant Bond top x2 at a price, but 11 runners)
Dave, you’re getting it very well; great call on the 205 I had it myself but didn’t post it due to numbers in the race. You are definitely on the right track. Hate being a so-called tipster, as I want the members to win and enjoy the system
Nicely done Debrief in the 1426
What’s the view on Hexham’s 4.13?
Only five runners and Buddah Castle (3×3) @16
Yes, looks to me like a sound investment, below my idea to bet. Take the loss if Fav wins;
Thanks for the insight today.
Interesting that the profit was in the possibles where a horse only figured once or twice (Sugar Sugar aside at a very decent price)
So I’m thinking double top rated irrespective of runners if the price is right and for those mentioned once they’re a play if Betty say over 25.
Sound reasoning Dave, more often than not the runner appears 3 times and I take confidence from that. As I have said, there are so many options but TBH I keep things simple. Are you the Dave interested in the Greyhounds as well??
No, that must be someone else.
Dear Dave, You speak about the new GH Pro card, but I cannot find a download for it, so can you tell me where it is please
Hi Ken, The new Greyhound PRO card is under test and will be released if all goes well at the end of June
Very interested in the Pro cards for the greyhounds
Thanks Ken, will add you to the list for updating
Dave H
Hi, 3 best picks in one dog race
which to back?
thanks
roy
Hi Roy, Thanks for the question. I work on value; I will sometimes back all 3 if the odds allow. The new Pro card will have guidance to point to a strong selection. The Pro card will be released in late June when testing is complete. Hope this helps. Dave H
DA PRO CARD greyhound example bet from 1242 RACE
The HHI Index allows us to filter out uncompetitive markets where the favourites will be over backed and offer zero value. Example: When backing favourites and applying a HHI Index of less than 0.3 to the DHBL Selections we get a selection system with a 34% Strike Rate and a healthy 18% Edge. Putting the data into TSM we can see the average odds are 3.65 with average winning odds of 3.45. We are avoiding the favourites that offer zero value. This is an option I will be following going forwards in our sister software The Bet Machine. (TBM has the HHI Index available as a criteria option so that only selections will be placed where the current market is as per my HHI Index Criteria).
This system has now been added as DHBL ALT1