Fixed Staking Plan
The Fixed Staking Plan is a strategic betting approach designed to achieve a consistent profit per wager by adjusting the stake relative to the odds. Unlike Level Stakes, where the bet size remains constant and returns vary with the odds, the Fixed Staking Plan ensures that each successful bet yields a predetermined profit, regardless of the odds.
How Does the Fixed Staking Plan Work?
Set a Profit Target: Determine the desired profit for each bet.
Calculate the Stake Based on Odds: Divide the profit target by the decimal odds minus one. This calculation adjusts the stake to achieve the target profit.
Formula: Stake = Profit Target / (Decimal Odds – 1)
Example Calculation:
Assume a profit target of £40:
For Odds of 4/1 (Decimal 5.00):
- Stake = £40 / (5.00 – 1) = £40 / 4 = £10
- If the bet wins: £10 x 5.00 = £50; Profit = £50 – £10 = £40
For Odds of 7/10 (Decimal 1.70):
- Stake = £40 / (1.70 – 1) = £40 / 0.70 ≈ £57.14
- If the bet wins: £57.14 x 1.70 ≈ £97.14; Profit ≈ £97.14 – £57.14 = £40
This approach ensures a consistent profit per bet. However, it requires larger stakes for selections with shorter odds, which can increase financial exposure. Therefore, it’s advisable to avoid betting on odds-on selections (odds less than 2.00) to maintain manageable stake sizes.
Considerations:
Bankroll Management: Ensure that your bankroll can support the varying stake sizes, especially for bets with shorter odds, to avoid overexposure.
Risk Assessment: Be cautious with low-odds bets, as they require higher stakes, increasing potential losses if the bet is unsuccessful.
Available Settings in The Staking Machine (TSM):
The Staking Machine (TSM) software facilitates the Fixed Staking Plan by allowing users to:
Set a profit target relative to the starting bank.
Adjust the profit target based on the cumulative bank total, using features like the ‘last bet filter’ to specify the final bet of the day.
Frequently Asked Questions
Answer: The Fixed Staking Plan (also known as Fixed Profit Staking) is a strategic money management method where you set a fixed profit target for every winning bet. The stake is automatically adjusted according to the decimal odds so that every successful bet returns the exact same profit, regardless of the odds.Unlike Level Staking (where the stake stays the same and profit varies), Fixed Staking guarantees consistent profit per win.
Answer:
- Choose your desired profit per winning bet (e.g. £50).
- For each bet, calculate the stake using this formula:
Stake = Profit Target / (Decimal Odds – 1)
Profit target = £40
- Odds 5.0 (4/1): Stake = £40 / (5.0 – 1) = £10 → Win returns £50 total → £40 profit
- Odds 1.70 (7/10): Stake = £40 / (1.70 – 1) = £57.14 → Win returns £97.14 total → £40 profit
Answer: It delivers consistent, predictable profit on every winner. This makes it easier to plan and track performance, especially for users who want steady returns rather than varying profit amounts.
Answer:
- Stakes become much larger on short odds (odds-on favourites).
- This increases exposure and potential drawdown if those short-priced bets lose.
- It is generally not recommended for bets at odds below 2.00 (evens) because the stake size can grow too aggressive.
Answer:
- Level Staking: Same stake every time → profit varies with odds.
- Fixed Staking: Stake changes every time → profit stays the same on every win.
Answer: Yes, but it works best with systems that produce a good mix of odds and a solid strike rate. It is popular with users who back strong favourites or want uniform profit per winner.
Answer :
- Profit Target – set as a fixed amount or as a % of starting bank
- Link to Cumulative Total – allows the profit target to grow as your bank increases (recommended for compounding)
- Last Bet Filter – useful for daily sessions to adjust the final bet
- Minimum / Maximum Stake – safety limits
Answer: Yes — this is the recommended setting for most users. It lets your target profit (and stakes) grow naturally with your betting bank while still maintaining the fixed-profit principle.
Answer: Yes — the Lay Fixed Liability plan works on the same principle but controls the maximum liability (loss) instead of stake, ensuring a consistent risk amount on every lay bet.
Answer: It’s ideal for:
- Bettors who want consistent profit per winning selection
- Users with a high strike rate on shorter odds (but preferably above 2.0)
- Those moving beyond simple Level staking
- Traders who prefer predictable returns
Answer: It sits in the medium risk category. It is safer than many recovery systems but more aggressive than Level or Whitaker staking on short-priced selections. Always size your profit target conservatively relative to your total bank (e.g. 1–3%).
