i-TSM Staking Plan
The i-TSM Staking Plan was created by TSM. Designed to adjust your stakes according to current strike rates over x amount of bets. The Staking Machine Software calculates everything for you.
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Expected Strike Rate: Establish an expected strike rate for your betting system. For example, if your system has a 28% strike rate, this figure serves as the benchmark for stake adjustments.
Live Strike Rate Calculation: As you place your bets, the strike rate is monitored over specified intervals—such as the last 10, 20, 30, or 50 bets. This metric informs TSM whether to increase or decrease stakes.
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Stake Adjustment Mechanism:
- If the moving average strike rate falls below the expected rate, stakes are increased incrementally.
- Conversely, if the moving average exceeds the expected rate, stakes can be decreased.
- Adjustments are typically made in percentages of the initial stake. For instance, a 10% increase on a £1 stake results in an additional £0.10.
Implementation Example:
Assume a starting bankroll of £100 and an expected strike rate of 28%, with an initial stake set at 1% (£1).
- If the strike rate over the last 10 bets is below 28%, increase the stake by 10% of £1, resulting in a £0.10 addition.
- If the strike rate over the last 20 bets is below 28%, add another 20% of £1 (£0.20).
- Continue this pattern for the 30 and 50-bet intervals, adding 30% (£0.30) and 40% (£0.40) respectively if the strike rates are below 28%.
The total stake would then be the sum of the initial £1 plus any applicable increments, adjusted according to performance metrics.
In the settings above we have changed the strike rate to 28%. This is based on a selection system with a 28% Strike Rate.
The rest of the settings have been left at default.
The start stake is 1% of £100 which is £1.
If the strike rate is > than 28% then the stake is left at £1.
If the overall strike rate is < than 28% than the stake is left at £1.
If the strike rate for the last 10 bets is < than 28% the stake is increased by 10% of the initial £1 stake. So this would be an increase of 10p.
If the strike rate for the last 20 bets is < than 28% the stake is increased by 20% of the initial £1 stake. So this would be an increase of 20p.
If the strike rate for the last 30 bets is < than 28% the stake is increased by 30% of the initial £1 stake. So this would be an increase of 30p.
If the strike rate for the last 50 bets is < than 28% the stake is increased by 40% of the initial £1 stake. So this would be an increase of 40p.
The total additions/subtractions to the initial stake are totalled up and added to the default £1 stake.
You can also do the reverse of the above and decrease stakes. You can also increase stakes when the strike rate is above the expected strike rate.
The last thing you can do is link the Starting Stake to the Cumulative total. So as the Cumulative total increases so does your stakes.
Frequently Asked Questions
Answer: The i-TSM Staking Plan is a dynamic, performance-based staking system created by The Staking Machine. It automatically adjusts your stake up or down based on how your current strike rate compares to your expected strike rate over recent bets (last 10, 20, 30, and 50 bets).
Answer:
- Set your Expected Strike Rate (e.g. 28%).
- Set an Initial Stake (% of bank).
- TSM monitors your actual strike rate over multiple look-back periods (10/20/30/50 bets).
- If your recent strike rate is below the expected rate → stake increases by set percentages of the initial stake.
- If your recent strike rate is above the expected rate → stake can decrease (optional).
- All adjustments are added together and applied to your base stake.
Answer: It intelligently responds to your system’s current performance. It increases stakes during poor runs (to help recover) and can reduce them during strong runs — giving you a responsive, adaptive money management approach.
- Stakes can rise during a bad run of results.
- Requires a realistic expected strike rate for best performance.
- Can be complex to understand at first compared to simpler plans.
Answer: Yes. Because stakes remain fixed, you avoid the rapid bank depletion that can occur with aggressive recovery or percentage-based plans during losing streaks. This makes it one of the safest and simplest approaches for risk management.
Answer: It is a unique, adaptive plan unlike fixed percentage, level, or traditional progression systems. It sits in the medium risk category and works well for users who want their staking to react to real-time performance.
Answer: Yes. It is particularly effective with systems that have a relatively stable long-term strike rate but experience short-term variance.
Answer:
- Expected Strike Rate (most important setting)
- Initial Stake (% of bank)
- Increase/Decrease percentages for each look-back period (10/20/30/50 bets)
- Link to Cumulative Total
- Option to increase stakes when performing above expected SR
Answer: It’s ideal for:
- Users who want smart, performance-responsive staking
- Bettors with systems that have a known long-term strike rate
- Experienced users looking for something more advanced than basic Level or Percentage staking
Answer: It is considered medium risk. The aggressiveness depends heavily on your chosen percentages and expected strike rate. Conservative settings keep it relatively safe and responsive.
